Those who prefer “old-fashioned” or “smash mouth” football will owe it to themselves to tune into Week 13’s Monday Night Football showdown. The Bills will host the Patriots in signature Buffalo conditions — cold, windy, and wet. We’re not likely to see either team slinging the rock too often or effectively, so we’re going to bet heavily on each side’s ground attack, which is made apparent by our FanDuel single-game DFS lineup picks.
Here are the notable scoring settings for FanDuel’s single-game contests: The point total for the “MVP” is multiplied by 1.5, but he doesn’t cost any additional money like the “Captain” in DraftKings Showdown contests. FanDuel’s default scoring is half-point PPR and four-point passing TDs, and there are no bonuses for 300-yard/100-yard games like on DraftKings.
MORE FD SINGLE GAME: How to win a FanDuel single-game contest
FanDuel Single Game DFS Picks: Patriots vs. Bills
$60,000 budget, need at least one player from each team
MVP (1.5x points): QB Josh Allen, Bills ($17,500)
The situation looks like it’s going to be unfavorable for the offense on Monday night, but we like Allen nonetheless. Even if he’s subpar in the passing department, Allen can do a lot of damage with his legs. He’s “only” scored three times on the ground this season, but it’s a trick he keeps in his bag. He’s also rushed for 50 or more yards on three occasions.
FLEX RB Damien Harris, Patriots ($12,500)
Buffalo’s Monday night forecast calls for miserable conditions, i.e. perfect “ground-and-pound” weather. The Patriots aren’t a team that was going to chuck it around the yard anyway, but they’re even more likely to employ everyone’s favorite offensive strategy and “establish the run.” When they do, Harris will operate as the head of that snake. He’s scored double-digit FanDuel points in four of his past six.
MORE MNF DFS: DraftKings Lineup
FLEX RB Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($12,000)
Stevenson is behind Harris in the backfield pecking order, but that may not matter if Bill Belichick and Co. lean on their ground game as much as the environment suggests. Stevenson has proven himself capable when he gets the opportunities, and this is a spot where double-digit carries — and perhaps a shot at a touchdown — are reasonably likely.
FLEX TE Dawson Knox, Bills ($10,500)
We don’t expect fireworks from either team’s passing game, but when the Bills do have success throwing the ball, we like the odds of Knox playing a central role. He scored 11.0 FD points in Week 11 and 16.7 FD points in Week 12. If the weather and the Pats elite defense force Allen to play conservatively, Knox will likely be the intended target on a number of safe, high-percentage passes.
FLEX RB Matt Breida, Bills ($7,500)
Breida appears to have played his way into the thick of the backfield mix, and he’s scored at least 12.5 FD points in two of his past three contests. After receiving a season-high 11 opportunities in Week 12, Breida should be used liberally again on Monday night in a matchup that has the makings of a low-scoring, run-heavy affair.